New poll shows Conservatives closing the gap on Carney's Liberals
· Toronto Sun
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OTTAWA — The federal Liberal lead over the Conservatives has shrunk to six points, according to new polling.
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In its weekly federal tracker poll, Liaison Strategies has the Mark Carney-led Liberals at 41% support among decided and leaning voters, with Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party of Canada in second at 35%.
The NDP received 14% support, while the Bloc Québécois was at six per cent and the Green Party at two per cent.
“It is real movement toward a more competitive national race, but we have seen tightening before only to see the Liberals reclaim the lead after a week or two,” said Liaison’s David Valentin.
“The question is if the Conservatives will retain their gains.”
Poilievre sees bump in approval rating
The gap began narrowing late last month , when the Liberals’ lead dropped from 11 percentage points to eight. That trend softened last week but appeared to gain momentum again with this week’s results.
“A six-point lead is still a lead, but it is the narrowest Liberal advantage we have seen in several tracker releases,” Valentin said.
“The Conservatives are not ahead and they are not tied, but they have cut into the gap enough that the national picture looks less settled than it did a week ago.”
The PM’s approval rating also slipped slightly, falling two points to 56% while Poilievre’s favourability rating rose by the same amount.
Carney’s lowest-recorded approval rating — 55% — came in January and again in June, Valentin pointed out, after reaching 58% earlier in June.
Poilievre’s approval rating climbed to 39% this week. Meanwhile, 48% of respondents held an unfavourable view of the Opposition leader, eight per cent were undecided, and five per cent said they were not familiar with him.
“His unfavourable number has not been this low since June 22, when it was 47%,” Valentin said.
The poll was conducted between June 28 and July 11 among a random sample of 1,526 Canadians. It has a margin of error of ±2.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.