2024 NFL redraft proves recency bias against Jayden Daniels

· Yahoo Sports

The 2026 NFL Draft is long over. Free agency is in the rearview mirror, and so is the NFL offseason. Now, we await training camp, with every NFL team scheduled to report in the next few weeks.

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In the meantime, there isn't much going on around the NFL. Well, unless you're following the Brandon Aiyuk drama, which seems to have new material every other day.

While we are in the calm before the storm, Zachary Pereles of CBS Sports recently looked back at the 2024 NFL Draft. Specifically, Pereles performed a "2024 redraft." That is the draft where six quarterbacks were selected among the first 12 picks.

It's still early, but it looks like four of those quarterback picks were home runs: No. 1 Caleb Williams (Bears), No. 2 Jayden Daniels (Commanders), No. 3 Drake Maye (Patriots) and No. 12 Bo Nix (Broncos). Daniels and Nix were the top rookies, with Daniels having arguably the greatest rookie season in NFL history, leading the Commanders to the NFC Championship Game.

Daniels battled injuries last season, missing 10 games. However, Maye and Williams took a big leap, with both leading their respective teams to the playoffs. Maye even led New England to the Super Bowl. Nix led the Broncos to the AFC's No. 1 seed, but was injured in the AFC Divisional Round.

So, where would these players land in this CBS redraft?

Here's Pereles' top-three picks:

Pereles offered the following on Washington selecting Williams:

The Commanders would gladly "settle" for Williams here. He took his game to another level last year by cutting way down on negative plays -- especially sacks -- and improving massively as a pocket navigator and scrambler. This is his biggest advantage over Maye, who still must improve his pressure mitigation. Williams has always taken excellent care of the ball as a passer, even during his difficult rookie year, and his out-of-structure creation is jaw-dropping.

Here's his assessment of Daniels going No. 3:

If this article had come at this time out last year, Daniels would likely be No. 1. Instead, he falls all the way to No. 3! (Please note extreme sarcasm here; all three of these guys are great.) Daniels' electrifying rookie season can't be forgotten, but his second-year struggles -- with injuries, a fall off in accuracy and less-than-ideal surroundings -- can't be completely overlooked, either.

If Washington had the chance to do this over, it would take Daniels again. I'm pretty confident the Bears would also stick with Williams. This redraft is proof of how our world is full of "what have you done for me lately?" Daniels is somehow viewed as No. 3 in this class because last season has him on a mission in 2026. He's already said he's done talking about 2025.

Let's talk about last season's playoffs. The Patriots made it to the Super Bowl despite Maye. He struggled in all four games, completing 58% of his passes with six touchdowns, four interceptions, and seven fumbles. He had an 82.2 QB rating and a 40 QBR.

Meanwhile, Williams completed 52% of his passes, with four touchdowns and five interceptions. He had a 65.9 QB rating and a 53.4 QBR.

While Daniels didn't make the playoffs last season, let's revisit his 2024 playoff run. He completed 66% of his passes in three playoff games, with 822 yards, five touchdowns and one interception. He led the game-winning drive on the road at Tampa Bay in the NFC Wild-Card Round, and led the Commanders to a blowout road win over No. 1 seed Detroit in the NFC Divisional Round. Daniels had a 97.9 QB rating and an 84.2 QBR. He also rushed for 135 yards and one touchdown.

All QB-needy teams in the NFL would be happy with any of these three young franchise passers. But the Commanders still believe they've got the best of the bunch.

This article originally appeared on Commanders Wire: 2024 NFL redraft proves recency bias against Jayden Daniels

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