Way too early NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year 2026 odds
· Yahoo Sports
The 2026 NFL Draft is done and several teams have a fresh wave of playmakers, and the early Offensive Rookie of the Year race already has a clear shape. At the top of the board, the Arizona Cardinals, Las Vegas Raiders, Tennessee Titans, New Orleans Saints, Seattle Seahawks, Philadelphia Eagles, New York Jets, and Cleveland Browns all have rookies who could factor into the award race right away. That matters, because OROY usually goes to a player who lands in the right system, earns early volume, and produces numbers fast.
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The first look at the betting board from DraftKings Sportsbook makes that easy to see. Jeremiyah Love opens as the favorite, with Fernando Mendoza right behind him, while Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson, and Jadarian Price round out the next tier. After that, the odds spread out quickly, which is a sign that this race could still change a lot once the season gets rolling. Some rookies will need time to settle in, some will need the right quarterback play, and some will need injuries or depth chart changes to break their way. For now, though, this is the early pecking order for the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year race.
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1. Jeremiyah Love, Arizona Cardinals (+250)
The Arizona Cardinals introduce their first-round draft pick running back Jeremiyah Love during a press conference at the Cardinals Dignity Health training facility on April 24, 2026, in Tempe, Ariz.
Love is the early favorite for a reason. The Cardinals took him with the No. 3 overall pick, and the market already sees him as the most likely rookie to put up the best offensive numbers. In his 2025 college season at Notre Dame, he ran for 1,372 yards and 18 touchdowns. That kind of production, plus his breakaway speed, gives him a strong case to stay near the top of the OROY race all season.
2. Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders (+350)
Apr 24, 2026; Henderson, NV, USA; Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Fernando Mendoza at the Festival of Football at the Intermountain Health Performance Center. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images
Mendoza was the No. 1 overall pick after a huge 2025 season at Indiana. He threw for 3,535 yards, 41 touchdowns, and only six interceptions while completing 72% of his passes. That is the profile of a quarterback who can make an immediate statistical impact. Even if he is not the Week 1 starter, his talent and draft status keep him squarely in the award conversation.
3. Carnell Tate, Tennessee Titans (+500)
Tennessee Titans first round draft pick wide receiver Carnell Tate, 4th overall pick, stands for a portrait at Vanderbilt Health Football Center Friday, April 24, 2026.
Tate went No. 4 overall and should get plenty of chances in Tennessee. The 2025 Ohio State standout was one of the best contested-catch receivers in the country and did not drop a pass. He hauled in 12 of 14 contested targets and ranked No. 2 nationally with nine catches of 40 or more yards. If the Titans’ passing game gives him volume, he can climb quickly in the OROY race.
4. Jordyn Tyson, New Orleans Saints (+600)
Apr 23, 2026; Pittsburgh, PA, USA; Arizona State Sun Devils receiver Jordyn Tyson poses on the red carpet before the 2026 NFL Draft at Point State Park. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images
Tyson entered the league as the No. 8 overall pick, and New Orleans clearly expects him to be a major part of the offense. In 2025 at Arizona State, he caught 61 passes for 711 yards and eight touchdowns before a hamstring injury ended his season early. His route running and vertical speed give him a clean path to early production. Health will decide how far he can go in this race.
5. Jadarian Price, Seattle Seahawks (+750)
Running back Jadarian Price during Notre Dame football’s Pro Day at Irish Athletic Center on Tuesday, March 24, 2026, in South Bend.
Price was the No. 32 overall pick, and Seattle sees him as a back who can help right away. He entered the league after backing up Jeremiyah Love at Notre Dame, where he was still productive enough to get first-round attention. His role in Seattle should give him chances to work into the offense early. If the touches come, he has a path to be one of the more surprising names in the OROY chase.
6. Makai Lemon, Philadelphia Eagles (+950)
Apr 24, 2026; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles 1st round draft pick Makai Lemon prepares to ring the bell during pregame ceremony before Philadelphia 76ers game against the Boston Celtics at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-Imagn Images
Lemon sits in the middle of the board, which makes him one of the more interesting wild cards. The Eagles took him in the first round, and that alone puts him in the mix. His odds suggest the league views him as a player with upside, but he is not yet in the same tier as the top five favorites. He will need a strong start to move up this list.
7. Carson Beck, Arizona Cardinals (+1500)
Feb 28, 2026; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Miami quarterback Carson Beck (QB04) during the NFL Scouting Combine at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images
Beck gives Arizona a second entry on the board, which shows how much talent the Cardinals brought in. He is a lower-end contender compared with Love, but he is still in the conversation at +1500. The biggest reason is simple: quarterbacks always have a path in award races if they get on the field and produce. For now, though, he looks more like a long shot than a favorite.
T8. Omar Cooper Jr., New York Jets (+1800)
Apr 24, 2026; Florham Park, NJ, USA; New York Jets Draft pick, wide receiver Omar Cooper Jr. at Atlantic Health Jets Training Center. Mandatory Credit: Jess Stiles-Imagn Images
Cooper Jr. is part of a Jets rookie class that could produce value if the offense gives him a role. His odds show he is being watched, but not yet pushed into the top tier. That means the path is there, but the volume has to follow. He will need a strong college-to-pro transition to make real noise in the OROY race.
T8. Kenyon Sadiq, New York Jets (+1800)
Feb 27, 2026; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Oregon tight end Kenyon Sadiq (TE23) during the NFL Scouting Combine at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images
Sadiq shares the same odds as Cooper Jr., and that puts him in the same category of upside plays. The Jets invested in him because they believe he can become an offensive factor. Like most rookies outside the top tier, his award case will depend on usage and consistency. A fast start could change his standing, but the board currently places him behind the leaders.
T10. KC Concepcion, Cleveland Browns (+2500)
Apr 24, 2026; Berea, OH, USA; Cleveland Browns first round draft picks Spencer Fano, left, and KC Concepcion hold their new jerseys during an introductory press conference at CrossCountry Mortgage Campus. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-Imagn Images
Concepcion is a deeper long shot, but Cleveland clearly likes the skill set. The Browns picked him with the hope that his speed and playmaking ability can translate quickly. At +2500, the betting market is saying he needs a lot to go right. Still, if he finds early snaps and big-play chances, he could outperform those odds.
T10. Denzel Boston, Cleveland Browns (+2500)
Feb 27, 2026; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Washington wideout Denzel Boston (WO08) speaks to members of the media during the NFL Combine at the Indiana Convention Center. Mandatory Credit: Jacob Musselman-Imagn Images
Boston rounds out the list and gives Cleveland another rookie worth watching. His odds place him in the same long-shot range as Concepcion, which means the Browns have multiple players who could rise if the offense clicks. Right now, he is not among the top favorites, but that can change quickly if he earns targets early. For a rookie board this deep, one big stretch can change everything.
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Conclusion
The 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year race is wide open, with Jeremiyah Love and Fernando Mendoza leading early odds. Opportunity, team fit, and consistency will shape the outcome. As the season unfolds, breakout performances could quickly shift the standings and redefine this early projection.